Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 37.709493 41.039189 44.690441 49.022147 54.061794 59.791665 66.874683
2025-02-16 32.351308 36.714936 41.844672 48.430305 56.831580 67.446471 82.326560
2025-02-23 29.076362 33.880894 39.787824 47.786567 58.683261 73.600852 96.794810
2025-03-02 26.608307 31.598830 37.938511 46.875700 59.695154 78.445632 110.388568
2025-03-09 24.827841 29.947725 36.631248 46.382533 61.020801 83.776577 126.170549
2025-03-16 23.015252 28.069498 34.797022 44.861773 60.494698 85.974761 137.060653
2025-03-23 22.473543 27.822210 35.133941 46.463017 64.943533 97.272556 170.128158
2025-03-30 21.453378 26.828985 34.312250 46.193342 66.265620 103.278704 194.855678
2025-04-06 20.458118 25.796792 33.340749 45.565182 66.845788 107.956387 218.984405
2025-04-13 19.333284 24.512188 31.903630 44.046596 65.623368 108.690935 232.780256
2025-04-20 19.049851 24.411563 32.214750 45.388951 69.792323 121.955770 295.770239
2025-04-27 18.716958 24.212764 32.351948 46.439190 73.568174 135.570758 377.272833
2025-05-04 18.158648 23.671668 31.953823 46.587668 75.717019 146.360247 467.668955
2025-05-11 17.518932 22.978303 31.274532 46.181655 76.680720 154.517817 564.437850
2025-05-18 16.894887 22.276204 30.534733 45.591911 77.152668 161.528283 676.286939
2025-05-25 16.268986 21.541615 29.697996 44.746677 76.927580 166.428365 792.964381
2025-06-01 15.763794 20.970311 29.095900 44.288561 77.524463 174.323065 984.207473
2025-06-08 15.113432 20.147623 28.035825 42.874510 75.678498 173.321665 1069.074285
2025-06-15 15.034539 20.213228 28.460268 44.363343 81.086405 201.149773 1976.843067
2025-06-22 14.654968 19.786460 28.024943 44.112755 82.111993 212.854549 2932.327347
2025-06-29 14.242302 19.291171 27.447275 43.528811 82.186885 220.748673 4276.360684
2025-07-06 13.715242 18.595627 26.494585 42.115705 79.873296 216.974450 4770.303033
2025-07-13 13.648141 18.636478 26.821824 43.364923 85.001397 251.972958 28095.358519